Wall Street analyst estimates for Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. operates via its subsidiaries, providing comprehensive air transportation solutions for both passengers and freight. Its business is organized into three principal segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. The airline extends its services to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Originally established in Seattle, Washington, in 1932, the company maintains its corporate base in that city.
Consensus price target
$49.29 (+36 % vs price $36.15)
between $42.00 and $52.00 · 7 targets published in the last quarter
Closing price, Oct 29
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $15.8B | $15.7B – $15.8B | $-4.54 | 7 |
| 2027E | $17.3B | $17.0B – $17.8B | $3.24 | 6 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of October 29, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 22 |
| Hold | 5 |
| Sell | 1 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 28 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.75 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-28 | $-2.03 | ||
| 2026-10-20 | $0.36 | $0.39 | -8.3% |
| 2026-07-21 | $-0.92 | $-0.99 | +7.3% |
| 2026-04-20 | $-1.68 | $-1.65 | -1.8% |
| 2026-01-22 | $0.43 | $0.11 | +290.9% |
| 2025-10-23 | $1.05 | $1.09 | -3.7% |
| 2025-07-23 | $1.78 | $1.56 | +14.1% |
| 2025-04-23 | $-0.77 | $-0.77 | -0.0% |
Valuation Ratios
| Price / Book | 1.14 |
| EV / EBITDA | 17.93 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.93B | $7.89B | $8.26B | $8.78B | $3.57B | $6.18B | $9.65B | $10.43B | $11.73B | $14.24B |
| Cost of Revenue | $3.46B | $5.27B | $6.17B | $6.42B | $4.35B | $5.36B | $7.51B | $7.96B | $8.87B | $5.74B |
| Gross Profit | $2.46B | $2.63B | $2.09B | $2.37B | -$783.0M | $817.0M | $2.13B | $2.46B | $2.86B | $8.49B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $225.0M | $368.0M | $326.0M | $313.0M | $101.0M | $173.0M | $295.0M | $303.0M | $349.0M | $407.0M |
| Operating Expenses | $1.16B | $1.42B | $1.45B | $1.30B | $992.0M | $132.0M | $2.06B | $2.07B | $2.29B | $8.19B |
| Operating Income | $1.31B | $1.21B | $643.0M | $1.06B | -$1.77B | $685.0M | $70.0M | $394.0M | $570.0M | $303.0M |
| EBITDA | $1.77B | $1.70B | $1.19B | $1.49B | -$1.92B | $137.0M | $1.12B | $1.27B | $1.47B | $1.29B |
| Interest Expense | $30.0M | $86.0M | $73.0M | $63.0M | $87.0M | $117.0M | $94.0M | $121.0M | $142.0M | $243.0M |
| Pre-tax Income | $1.32B | $1.16B | $585.0M | $1.02B | -$1.84B | $629.0M | $79.0M | $323.0M | $545.0M | $146.0M |
| Income Tax | $519.0M | $199.0M | $148.0M | $247.0M | -$516.0M | $151.0M | $21.0M | $88.0M | $150.0M | $46.0M |
| Net Income | $797.0M | $960.0M | $437.0M | $769.0M | -$1.32B | $478.0M | $58.0M | $235.0M | $395.0M | $100.0M |
| EPS | $6.45 | $7.79 | $3.55 | $6.24 | $-10.59 | $3.82 | $0.46 | $1.84 | $3.13 | $0.85 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $6.41 | $7.75 | $3.52 | $6.19 | $-10.59 | $3.77 | $0.45 | $1.83 | $3.08 | $0.87 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 124.4 M | 123.9 M | 124.0 M | 124.3 M | 123.5 M | 126.8 M | 127.9 M | 128.7 M | 128.4 M | 117.4 M |
Price
| Price | $36.15 (closing price, October 29, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $4.0B |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Country | US |
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Explore sector: Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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