Wall Street analyst estimates for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a metal beverage can company in Europe, North America, and Brazil. It offers a range of beverage cans for use in sparkling water, soft drinks, beer, wine, flavored malt beverages, energy drinks, and teas, as well as flavored alcoholic beverages to beverage producers. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.
Consensus price target
$4.97 (+5 % vs price $4.73)
between $4.75 and $5.20 · 3 targets published in the last quarter
Closing price, Nov 2
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $6.3B | $6.1B – $6.4B | $0.26 | 5 |
| 2027E | $6.5B | $6.3B – $6.6B | $0.29 | 5 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of November 1, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 1 |
| Hold | 4 |
| Sell | 1 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 6 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.00 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-25 | $0.03 | ||
| 2026-10-22 | $0.08 | $0.08 | +4.2% |
| 2026-07-23 | $0.11 | $0.09 | +24.0% |
| 2026-04-23 | $0.05 | $0.04 | +25.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | $0.03 | $0.02 | +50.0% |
| 2025-10-23 | $0.08 | $0.07 | +14.3% |
| 2025-07-24 | $0.08 | $0.07 | +14.3% |
| 2025-04-24 | $0.02 | $0.01 | +100.0% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 54.68 |
| Price / Book | -3.68 |
| Dividend Yield | 8.46% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.34B | $3.34B | $3.45B | $4.05B | $4.69B | $4.81B | $4.91B | $5.50B |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.81B | $2.83B | $2.90B | $3.44B | $4.16B | $4.34B | $4.28B | $4.82B |
| Gross Profit | $530.0M | $512.0M | $548.0M | $616.0M | $526.0M | $474.0M | $630.0M | $681.0M |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $149.0M | $165.0M | $189.0M | $418.0M | $212.0M | $255.0M | $288.0M | $299.0M |
| Operating Expenses | $384.0M | $314.0M | $338.0M | $569.0M | $350.0M | $398.0M | $428.0M | $437.0M |
| Operating Income | $228.0M | $198.0M | $210.0M | $47.0M | $176.0M | $76.0M | $202.0M | $244.0M |
| EBITDA | $512.0M | $449.0M | $604.0M | $281.0M | $728.0M | $508.0M | $629.0M | $707.0M |
| Interest Expense | 0 | $174.0M | $155.0M | $126.0M | $113.0M | $161.0M | $170.0M | $240.0M |
| Pre-tax Income | -$25.0M | -$15.0M | $140.0M | -$188.0M | $256.0M | -$71.0M | $10.0M | $4.0M |
| Income Tax | $50.0M | $25.0M | $29.0M | $22.0M | $19.0M | -$21.0M | $13.0M | -$7.0M |
| Net Income | -$75.0M | -$40.0M | $111.0M | -$210.0M | $237.0M | -$50.0M | -$3.0M | $11.0M |
| EPS | -$0.12 | -$0.07 | $0.18 | -$0.39 | $0.38 | -$0.12 | -$0.05 | -$0.02 |
| EPS (Diluted) | -$0.12 | -$0.07 | $0.18 | -$0.39 | $0.38 | -$0.12 | -$0.05 | -$0.02 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 603.3 M | 603.3 M | 603.3 M | 538.8 M | 601.0 M | 597.6 M | 597.7 M | 597.7 M |
Price
| Price | $4.73 (closing price, November 2, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $2.8B |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Country | LU |
Related companies: GEF · PHIN · UAA · SAH
Explore sector: Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
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