Wall Street analyst estimates for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm that employs both direct investment and fund-of-fund strategies. Its direct investment expertise is extensive, encompassing management-led leveraged buyouts, privatizations, and divestitures, as well as strategic minority equity investments. The firm also allocates capital to structured credit opportunities, global distressed and corporate situations, and small-to-middle market enterprises.
Consensus price target
$51.22 (+27 % vs price $40.18)
between $43.00 and $70.00 · 9 targets published in the last quarter
Closing price, Oct 30
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $3.7B | $3.5B – $3.8B | $3.50 | 10 |
| 2027E | $4.9B | $4.5B – $5.6B | $4.99 | 10 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of October 29, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 14 |
| Hold | 11 |
| Sell | 1 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 26 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.50 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | $0.97 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | $1.07 | $0.91 | +17.5% |
| 2026-05-06 | $0.89 | $0.93 | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-06 | $1.01 | $1.00 | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-31 | $0.98 | $1.02 | -3.9% |
| 2025-08-05 | $0.91 | $0.89 | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-09 | $1.14 | $0.95 | +19.4% |
| 2025-02-11 | $0.92 | $1.04 | -11.5% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 41.75 |
| Price / Book | 2.10 |
| EV / EBITDA | 27.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.31% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.93B | $2.78B | $2.06B | $2.92B | $2.13B | $5.82B | $3.68B | $1.87B | $4.09B | $4.90B |
| Cost of Revenue | $397.4M | $465.6M | $246.8M | $213.9M | $257.5M | $291.8M | $322.0M | $542.9M | $685.9M | $1.67B |
| Gross Profit | $1.54B | $2.31B | $1.81B | $2.70B | $1.88B | $5.53B | $3.36B | $1.32B | $3.40B | $3.23B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $521.1M | $276.8M | $460.7M | $494.4M | $349.3M | $431.7M | $575.8M | $652.1M | $665.6M | $2.05B |
| Operating Expenses | $1.49B | $1.18B | $1.45B | $1.47B | $1.30B | $1.50B | $1.78B | $1.93B | $2.01B | $1.95B |
| Operating Income | $45.3M | $1.13B | $360.2M | $1.23B | $580.0M | $4.03B | $1.57B | -$600.9M | $1.39B | $1.28B |
| EBITDA | $117.3M | $1.17B | $407.1M | $1.30B | $632.1M | $4.08B | $1.72B | -$420.3M | $1.58B | $1.48B |
| Interest Expense | $397.4M | $465.6M | $246.8M | $213.9M | $257.5M | $291.8M | $322.0M | $542.9M | $685.9M | $123.9M |
| Pre-tax Income | $45.3M | $1.13B | $360.2M | $1.23B | $580.0M | $4.03B | $1.57B | -$600.9M | $1.39B | $1.16B |
| Income Tax | $30.0M | $124.9M | $31.3M | $49.0M | $197.2M | $982.3M | $287.8M | -$104.2M | $302.6M | $214.5M |
| Net Income | $6.4M | $244.1M | $116.5M | $380.9M | $348.2M | $2.97B | $1.23B | -$608.4M | $1.02B | $808.7M |
| EPS | $0.08 | $2.58 | $0.89 | $3.05 | $0.99 | $8.37 | $3.39 | $-1.68 | $2.85 | $2.25 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.08 | $2.38 | $0.82 | $2.82 | $0.97 | $8.20 | $3.35 | $-1.68 | $2.77 | $2.18 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 308.5 M | 100.1 M | 113.4 M | 122.6 M | 358.4 M | 362.6 M | 365.7 M | 361.4 M | 368.0 M | 370.9 M |
Price
| Price | $40.18 (closing price, October 30, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $14.3B |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Country | US |
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