Wall Street analyst estimates for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, oversees the ownership and daily running of Chipotle Mexican Grill eateries. By February 15, 2022, its global presence included roughly 3,000 restaurant locations spread across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and other parts of Europe. The company was established in 1993 and maintains its principal office in Newport Beach, California.
Consensus price target
$40.59 (+27 % vs price $31.89)
between $32.00 and $50.00 · 14 targets published in the last quarter
Closing price, Oct 30
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $13.0B | $12.9B – $13.1B | $1.15 | 20 |
| 2027E | $14.4B | $14.1B – $14.6B | $1.37 | 21 |
| 2028E | $15.9B | $15.3B – $17.2B | $1.58 | 7 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of October 29, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 46 |
| Hold | 21 |
| Sell | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 67 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.69 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-02 | $0.25 | ||
| 2026-10-28 | $0.27 | $0.29 | -6.9% |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.33 | $0.32 | +3.5% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.24 | $0.24 | +1.1% |
| 2026-02-03 | $0.25 | $0.24 | +5.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | $0.29 | $0.29 | +1.5% |
| 2025-07-23 | $0.33 | $0.33 | +1.2% |
| 2025-04-23 | $0.29 | $0.28 | +4.7% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 29.80 |
| Price / Book | 16.44 |
| EV / EBITDA | 20.18 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.90B | $4.48B | $4.86B | $5.59B | $5.98B | $7.55B | $8.63B | $9.87B | $11.31B | $11.93B |
| Cost of Revenue | $3.41B | $3.72B | $3.95B | $4.44B | $4.94B | $5.84B | $6.57B | $7.29B | $8.30B | $8.90B |
| Gross Profit | $498.2M | $756.2M | $911.0M | $1.14B | $1.04B | $1.71B | $2.06B | $2.59B | $3.02B | $3.03B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $276.2M | $296.4M | $375.5M | $451.6M | $466.3M | $606.9M | $564.2M | $633.6M | $697.5M | $652.0M |
| Operating Expenses | $463.6M | $485.4M | $652.6M | $698.5M | $750.9M | $902.1M | $901.7M | $1.03B | $1.10B | $1.01B |
| Operating Income | $34.6M | $270.8M | $258.4M | $444.0M | $290.2M | $804.9M | $1.16B | $1.56B | $1.92B | $2.01B |
| EBITDA | $222.0M | $459.8M | $535.5M | $690.9M | $574.8M | $1.10B | $1.50B | $1.95B | $2.32B | $2.37B |
| Interest Expense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pre-tax Income | $38.7M | $275.7M | $268.4M | $458.3M | $293.8M | $812.8M | $1.18B | $1.62B | $2.01B | $2.01B |
| Income Tax | $15.8M | $99.5M | $91.9M | $108.1M | -$62.0M | $159.8M | $282.4M | $391.8M | $476.1M | $473.8M |
| Net Income | $22.9M | $176.3M | $176.6M | $350.2M | $355.8M | $653.0M | $899.1M | $1.23B | $1.53B | $1.54B |
| EPS | $0.02 | $0.12 | $0.13 | $0.25 | $0.25 | $0.46 | $0.65 | $0.89 | $1.12 | $1.15 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.02 | $0.12 | $0.13 | $0.25 | $0.25 | $0.46 | $0.64 | $0.89 | $1.11 | $1.14 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 1,488.5 M | 1,428.0 M | 1,398.1 M | 1,414.8 M | 1,420.8 M | 1,425.5 M | 1,403.1 M | 1,385.5 M | 1,376.6 M | 1,342.6 M |
Price
| Price | $31.89 (closing price, October 30, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $40.3B |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Country | US |
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Explore sector: Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
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