Wall Street analyst estimates for Fastenal Company (FAST): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
Fastenal Company, along with its associated entities, operates as a global wholesale supplier of industrial and construction materials, with significant operations throughout North America, including the United States, Canada, and Mexico, and other international markets.
Consensus price target
$52.25 (+1 % vs price $51.91)
between $47.00 and $60.00 · 5 targets published in the last quarter
Closing price, Oct 30
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $9.4B | $8.9B – $9.5B | $1.28 | 11 |
| 2027E | $10.3B | $9.8B – $10.4B | $1.41 | 11 |
| 2028E | $11.1B | $10.6B – $11.3B | $1.54 | 10 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of October 29, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 11 |
| Hold | 19 |
| Sell | 2 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 32 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.28 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-19 | $0.31 | ||
| 2026-10-14 | $0.35 | $0.34 | +3.0% |
| 2026-07-14 | $0.33 | $0.33 | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-13 | $0.30 | $0.30 | +0.4% |
| 2026-01-20 | $0.26 | $0.26 | +0.3% |
| 2025-10-13 | $0.29 | $0.30 | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-14 | $0.29 | $0.28 | +2.7% |
| 2025-04-11 | $0.26 | $0.26 | +0.0% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 41.86 |
| Price / Book | 14.35 |
| EV / EBITDA | 29.20 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.96B | $4.39B | $4.97B | $5.33B | $5.65B | $6.01B | $6.98B | $7.35B | $7.55B | $8.20B |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.00B | $2.23B | $2.57B | $2.82B | $3.08B | $3.23B | $3.76B | $3.99B | $4.14B | $4.51B |
| Gross Profit | $1.96B | $2.16B | $2.40B | $2.52B | $2.57B | $2.78B | $3.22B | $3.35B | $3.40B | $3.69B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.17B | $1.28B | $1.40B | $1.46B | $1.43B | $1.56B | $1.76B | $1.83B | $1.89B | $2.04B |
| Operating Expenses | $1.17B | $1.28B | $1.40B | $1.46B | $1.43B | $1.56B | $1.76B | $1.83B | $1.89B | $2.04B |
| Operating Income | $795.8M | $881.8M | $999.2M | $1.06B | $1.14B | $1.22B | $1.45B | $1.53B | $1.51B | $1.66B |
| EBITDA | $900.2M | $1.01B | $1.14B | $1.21B | $1.30B | $1.39B | $1.63B | $1.71B | $1.69B | $1.84B |
| Interest Expense | $6.5M | $9.1M | $12.6M | $13.9M | $9.7M | $9.7M | $14.3M | $10.8M | $7.3M | $6.2M |
| Pre-tax Income | $789.7M | $873.1M | $987.0M | $1.04B | $1.13B | $1.21B | $1.44B | $1.52B | $1.51B | $1.66B |
| Income Tax | $290.3M | $294.5M | $235.1M | $252.8M | $273.6M | $282.8M | $353.1M | $367.0M | $357.5M | $396.6M |
| Net Income | $499.4M | $578.6M | $751.9M | $790.9M | $859.1M | $925.0M | $1.09B | $1.16B | $1.15B | $1.26B |
| EPS | $0.43 | $0.50 | $0.66 | $0.69 | $0.75 | $0.80 | $0.95 | $1.01 | $1.00 | $1.10 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.43 | $0.50 | $0.66 | $0.69 | $0.75 | $0.80 | $0.94 | $1.01 | $1.00 | $1.09 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 1,156.6 M | 1,153.4 M | 1,148.7 M | 1,148.8 M | 1,151.3 M | 1,154.2 M | 1,151.2 M | 1,146.0 M | 1,148.6 M | 1,150.3 M |
Price
| Price | $51.91 (closing price, October 30, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $59.6B |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Country | US |
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Explore sector: Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
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