Wall Street analyst estimates for Mattel, Inc. (MAT): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
Mattel, Inc. functions as a worldwide children's entertainment corporation, primarily engaged in the design and production of a diverse range of toys and consumer goods. The company's operations are segmented into North America, International, and the American Girl brand.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $5.7B | $5.6B – $5.7B | $1.29 | 7 |
| 2027E | $6.0B | $5.7B – $6.2B | $1.57 | 7 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of October 29, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 20 |
| Hold | 12 |
| Sell | 3 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 35 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.49 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | $0.94 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | $0.01 | $0.04 | -74.8% |
| 2026-04-29 | $-0.20 | $-0.24 | +16.7% |
| 2026-02-10 | $0.39 | $0.53 | -26.4% |
| 2025-10-21 | $0.89 | $1.05 | -15.2% |
| 2025-07-23 | $0.19 | $0.16 | +18.8% |
| 2025-05-05 | $-0.03 | $-0.11 | +72.7% |
| 2025-02-04 | $0.35 | $0.20 | +75.0% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 11.51 |
| Price / Book | 2.10 |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.18 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.45B | $4.88B | $4.51B | $4.50B | $4.59B | $5.46B | $5.43B | $5.44B | $5.38B | $5.35B |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.91B | $3.06B | $2.72B | $2.53B | $2.35B | $2.83B | $2.95B | $2.86B | $2.65B | $2.73B |
| Gross Profit | $2.55B | $1.82B | $1.80B | $1.98B | $2.24B | $2.63B | $2.48B | $2.58B | $2.73B | $2.61B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $194.1M | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $2.03B | $2.16B | $2.03B | $1.94B | $1.87B | $1.90B | $1.81B | $2.02B | $2.04B | $1.99B |
| Operating Expenses | $2.03B | $2.16B | $2.03B | $1.94B | $1.87B | $1.90B | $1.81B | $2.02B | $2.04B | $1.99B |
| Operating Income | $520.0M | -$335.7M | -$234.3M | $37.1M | $374.7M | $729.6M | $675.5M | $561.7M | $694.3M | $620.0M |
| EBITDA | $759.5M | -$121.3M | $38.9M | $285.9M | $569.4M | $956.4M | $875.4M | $766.5M | $987.2M | $774.1M |
| Interest Expense | $95.1M | $105.2M | $181.9M | $201.0M | $198.3M | $253.9M | $132.8M | $123.8M | $118.8M | $118.7M |
| Pre-tax Income | $402.0M | -$501.2M | -$417.1M | -$160.4M | $189.1M | $482.6M | $529.8M | $483.8M | $647.4M | $487.4M |
| Income Tax | $89.1M | $553.3M | $116.2M | $58.3M | $65.5M | -$420.4M | $135.9M | $269.5M | $105.6M | $89.8M |
| Net Income | $312.9M | -$1.05B | -$533.3M | -$218.8M | $123.6M | $903.0M | $393.9M | $214.4M | $541.8M | $397.6M |
| EPS | $0.93 | $-3.07 | $-1.54 | $-0.62 | $0.36 | $2.58 | $1.11 | $0.61 | $1.59 | $1.25 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.92 | $-3.07 | $-1.54 | $-0.62 | $0.35 | $2.53 | $1.10 | $0.60 | $1.58 | $1.24 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 344.2 M | 343.6 M | 345.0 M | 346.1 M | 349.1 M | 357.3 M | 359.6 M | 357.1 M | 343.3 M | 318.2 M |
Price
| Price | $15.42 (closing price, October 30, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $4.4B |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Country | US |
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