Wall Street analyst estimates for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue, EPS and EBITDA for the upcoming fiscal years.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is a leading provider of expedited parcel delivery and integrated logistics services throughout the People's Republic of China. The company facilitates shipments for a diverse clientele, including online retailers, traditional businesses, and various other entities requiring swift courier solutions. By the end of 2021, specifically December 31, its operations were supported by a substantial vehicle network comprising approximately 10,900 trucks.
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 7 |
| Hold | 3 |
| Sell | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 10 |
| Avg rating (1-5) | 0.70 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-18 | $0.48 | ||
| 2026-08-18 | $0.56 | $0.50 | +11.8% |
| 2026-05-19 | $0.43 | $0.45 | -3.5% |
| 2026-03-17 | $0.47 | $0.45 | +4.9% |
| 2025-11-19 | $0.44 | $0.35 | +23.5% |
| 2025-08-19 | $0.35 | $0.40 | -12.4% |
| 2025-05-21 | $0.34 | $0.40 | -15.8% |
| 2025-03-18 | $0.44 | $0.46 | -4.3% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 10.05 |
| Price / Book | 1.58 |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.51% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9.79B CNY | 13.06B CNY | 17.60B CNY | 22.11B CNY | 25.21B CNY | 30.41B CNY | 35.38B CNY | 38.42B CNY | 44.28B CNY | 47.76B CNY |
| Cost of Revenue | 6.35B CNY | 8.71B CNY | 12.24B CNY | 15.49B CNY | 19.38B CNY | 23.82B CNY | 26.34B CNY | 26.76B CNY | 30.56B CNY | 35.82B CNY |
| Gross Profit | 3.44B CNY | 4.35B CNY | 5.36B CNY | 6.62B CNY | 5.84B CNY | 6.59B CNY | 9.04B CNY | 11.66B CNY | 13.72B CNY | 11.94B CNY |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | 706.0M CNY | 780.5M CNY | 1.21B CNY | 1.55B CNY | 1.66B CNY | 1.88B CNY | 2.08B CNY | 2.43B CNY | 2.69B CNY | 0 |
| Operating Expenses | 673.9M CNY | 597.1M CNY | 1.03B CNY | 1.16B CNY | 1.08B CNY | 1.09B CNY | 1.30B CNY | 1.65B CNY | 1.94B CNY | 2.57B CNY |
| Operating Income | 2.77B CNY | 3.75B CNY | 4.33B CNY | 5.46B CNY | 4.75B CNY | 5.50B CNY | 7.74B CNY | 10.01B CNY | 11.78B CNY | 9.37B CNY |
| EBITDA | 3.16B CNY | 4.40B CNY | 6.19B CNY | 8.02B CNY | 6.91B CNY | 8.09B CNY | 11.15B CNY | 13.85B CNY | 15.04B CNY | 14.37B CNY |
| Interest Expense | 13.0M CNY | 15.7M CNY | 780,000 CNY | 0 | 35.3M CNY | 126.5M CNY | 190.5M CNY | 289.5M CNY | 337.9M CNY | 241.8M CNY |
| Pre-tax Income | 2.78B CNY | 3.81B CNY | 5.32B CNY | 6.75B CNY | 5.02B CNY | 5.71B CNY | 8.29B CNY | 10.69B CNY | 11.73B CNY | 10.84B CNY |
| Income Tax | 732.0M CNY | 646.4M CNY | 929.1M CNY | 1.08B CNY | 689.8M CNY | 1.01B CNY | 1.63B CNY | 1.94B CNY | 2.85B CNY | 1.85B CNY |
| Net Income | 2.05B CNY | 3.16B CNY | 4.38B CNY | 5.67B CNY | 4.31B CNY | 4.75B CNY | 6.81B CNY | 8.75B CNY | 8.82B CNY | 8.83B CNY |
| EPS | $2.91 | $4.41 | $5.83 | $7.24 | $5.42 | $5.80 | $8.41 | $10.83 | $10.95 | $11.05 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.91 | $4.40 | $5.82 | $7.23 | $5.42 | $5.80 | $8.36 | $10.60 | $10.70 | $10.91 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 634.6M CNY | 717.6M CNY | 752.7M CNY | 784.3M CNY | 796.1M CNY | 820.0M CNY | 820.0M CNY | 838.9M CNY | 838.4M CNY | 820.8M CNY |
Price
| Price | $19.70 |
| Market Cap | $15.6B |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Country | CN |
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Explore sector: Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
More sections of ZTO: Overview · Financials · Valuation · Statistics · Technical · Ownership · News · Events
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