Wall Street analyst estimates for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL): consensus price target, buy/hold/sell recommendations and forecasts for revenue and EPS for the upcoming fiscal years.
American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight. Its operations are anchored by key hubs located in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Additionally, it expands its global reach through strategic partner gateways situated in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo.
Consensus price target
$17.58 (+38 % vs price $12.78)
between $11.00 and $25.00 · 8 targets published in the last quarter
Closing price, Oct 29
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Revenue and EPS estimates
| Fiscal year | Revenue (average) | Revenue (low – high) | EPS (average) | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026E | $63.7B | $62.6B – $64.2B | $-1.19 | 13 |
| 2027E | $68.0B | $64.3B – $71.9B | $1.00 | 13 |
| 2028E | $70.6B | $64.2B – $73.1B | $3.22 | 7 |
Figures in USD · consensus as of October 29, 2026
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 17 |
| Hold | 18 |
| Sell | 3 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 38 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.37 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-26 | $-0.66 | ||
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.28 | $-0.36 | +22.4% |
| 2026-07-23 | $0.15 | $0.03 | +348.3% |
| 2026-04-23 | $-0.40 | $-0.46 | +13.7% |
| 2026-01-27 | $0.16 | $0.38 | -57.9% |
| 2025-10-23 | $-0.17 | $-0.28 | +38.9% |
| 2025-07-24 | $0.95 | $0.78 | +21.8% |
| 2025-04-24 | $-0.59 | $-0.69 | +15.0% |
Valuation Ratios
| Price / Book | -2.08 |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.63 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $40.14B | $42.62B | $44.54B | $45.77B | $17.34B | $29.88B | $48.97B | $52.79B | $54.21B | $54.63B |
| Cost of Revenue | $28.42B | $31.29B | $34.49B | $34.64B | $24.56B | $29.86B | $39.93B | $40.98B | $42.75B | $44.16B |
| Gross Profit | $11.73B | $11.33B | $10.05B | $11.13B | -$7.23B | $27.0M | $9.04B | $11.81B | $11.46B | $10.47B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.32B | $1.48B | $1.52B | $2.00B | $666.0M | $1.10B | $1.81B | $1.80B | $1.81B | $2.00B |
| Operating Expenses | $6.67B | $7.10B | $7.39B | $8.07B | $3.19B | $1.09B | $7.43B | $8.78B | $8.85B | $9.00B |
| Operating Income | $5.06B | $4.23B | $2.66B | $3.06B | -$10.42B | -$1.06B | $1.61B | $3.03B | $2.61B | $1.47B |
| EBITDA | $6.97B | $6.46B | $5.10B | $5.67B | -$7.86B | $1.59B | $4.45B | $5.52B | $5.33B | $4.12B |
| Interest Expense | $991.0M | $1.05B | $1.06B | $1.09B | $1.23B | $1.80B | $1.96B | $2.15B | $1.93B | $1.72B |
| Pre-tax Income | $4.15B | $3.40B | $1.88B | $2.26B | -$11.45B | -$2.55B | $186.0M | $1.12B | $1.15B | $190.0M |
| Income Tax | $1.57B | $2.11B | $472.0M | $570.0M | -$2.57B | -$555.0M | $59.0M | $299.0M | $308.0M | $79.0M |
| Net Income | $2.58B | $1.28B | $1.41B | $1.69B | -$8.88B | -$1.99B | $127.0M | $822.0M | $846.0M | $111.0M |
| EPS | $4.85 | $3.92 | $3.04 | $3.80 | $-18.36 | $-3.09 | $0.20 | $1.26 | $1.29 | $0.17 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.81 | $3.90 | $3.03 | $3.80 | $-18.36 | $-3.09 | $0.19 | $1.14 | $1.24 | $0.17 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 556.1 M | 491.7 M | 465.7 M | 444.3 M | 483.9 M | 644.0 M | 655.1 M | 719.7 M | 721.3 M | 661.9 M |
Price
| Price | $12.78 (closing price, October 29, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $8.5B |
| Exchange | NASDAQ |
| Country | US |
Related companies: RYAAY · UAL · DAL · LUV · LTM · CPA · ALK
Explore sector: Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
More sections of AAL: Overview · Financials · Valuation · Statistics · Technical · Ownership · News · Events
Discover more: Weekly Radar: the S&P 500 through the Buffett and Lynch methods · Companies that pass the Buffett method today · Companies that pass the Lynch method today · Stocks that pass Graham's defensive investor test today · Investment Academy — learn to analyze stocks