Wall Street analyst estimates for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR): consensus price target and buy/hold/sell recommendations.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR), founded in 2008 and based in Vero Beach, Florida, primarily allocates its capital to residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) within the United States. Its investment holdings predominantly comprise MBS that are either issued or guaranteed by U.S. Government-sponsored entities (GSEs) and the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA.
Consensus price target
$15.00 (+17 % vs price $12.79)
between $13.00 and $18.00
Closing price, Oct 29
A twelve-month target is not a fair value: compare it with the range in the Valuation tab.
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 5 |
| Hold | 15 |
| Sell | 5 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 25 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.00 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-17 | $0.70 | ||
| 2026-10-21 | $0.71 | $0.71 | -0.4% |
| 2026-07-22 | $0.72 | $0.72 | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-22 | $0.76 | $0.73 | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-18 | $0.71 | $0.74 | -4.1% |
| 2025-10-22 | $0.72 | $0.75 | -4.0% |
| 2025-07-23 | $0.77 | $0.81 | -4.9% |
| 2025-04-23 | $0.86 | $0.93 | -7.5% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 3.44 |
| Price / Book | 0.79 |
| EV / EBITDA | 2.58 |
| Dividend Yield | 22.31% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -$141.1M | $272.3M | $36.0M | $212.9M | -$213.2M | $4.9M | -$878.0M | $449.7M | $239.9M | $1.31B |
| Cost of Revenue | $26.1M | $26.6M | $27.2M | $29.6M | $20.8M | $22.5M | $26.0M | $31.6M | $33.1M | $38.9M |
| Gross Profit | -$167.2M | $245.7M | $8.7M | $183.4M | -$234.0M | -$17.6M | -$903.9M | $418.1M | $206.8M | $1.27B |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $29.1M | $31.5M | $36.5M | $37.9M | 0 |
| Operating Expenses | -$121.7M | $64.5M | -$39.5M | $145.0M | -$82.9M | -$40.1M | -$799.0M | -$39.8M | -$303.0M | $301.6M |
| Operating Income | -$45.5M | $181.2M | $48.3M | $38.3M | -$151.1M | $22.5M | -$105.0M | $457.9M | $509.8M | $964.8M |
| EBITDA | $113.2M | $325.5M | $85.4M | $38.3M | -$98.7M | $70.6M | -$92.6M | $457.9M | $509.8M | $966.8M |
| Interest Expense | $73.1M | $94.6M | $154.2M | $288.2M | $63.0M | $7.1M | $120.8M | $525.8M | $524.1M | $642.1M |
| Pre-tax Income | -$45.5M | $181.2M | -$106.0M | -$249.9M | -$215.1M | $15.4M | -$229.9M | -$67.9M | -$14.4M | $322.7M |
| Income Tax | 0 | $197.0M | $17.0M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net Income | -$45.5M | $181.2M | -$106.0M | -$249.9M | -$215.1M | $15.4M | -$229.9M | -$67.9M | -$14.4M | $322.7M |
| EPS | $-8.35 | $21.10 | $-14.60 | $-22.96 | $-17.85 | $0.24 | $-10.25 | $-1.86 | $-0.51 | $3.31 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-8.35 | $20.85 | $-14.60 | $-22.96 | $-17.83 | $0.24 | $-10.25 | $-1.86 | $-0.51 | $3.30 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 7.3 M | 7.9 M | 8.4 M | 11.6 M | 12.6 M | 16.1 M | 23.6 M | 43.1 M | 52.2 M | 94.3 M |
Price
| Price | $12.79 (closing price, October 29, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $1.8B |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Country | US |
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Explore sector: Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
More sections of ARR: Overview · Financials · Valuation · Statistics · Technical · Ownership · News · Events
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