The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) is a publicly traded company in the Industrials — Security & Protection Services industry listed on NYSE. This overview shows the latest price, key valuation ratios, profitability metrics and financial-health indicators used by fundamental investors.
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services.
Is The GEO Group, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) trades at 13.5× earnings (P/E), below the median of the 297 industrials companies over $2bn in Kaplio's universe. At the decade median (14.2×) $30 (+5 %); at its sector median (25.8×) $55 (+92 %).
Kaplio overview: The GEO Group, Inc.
Market cap $4B · 52 weeks $13 – $33 (13 % below the high) · P/E 13.5× · 2027 expected P/E 15.4× · Dividend none · Next earnings November 5, 2026 · expected EPS $0.35 · Closing price, Oct 30 · accounts published Aug 6.
- Valuation: P/E 13.5× (fairly priced).
- Business: ROIC 7 % (weak).
- Balance sheet: Net debt/EBITDA 2.6× (solid).
- Earnings: 4 of 8 (uneven).
What would it be worth at its usual multiples?
At the decade median (14.2×) $30 (+5 %); at its sector median (25.8×) $55 (+92 %). Implied price from applying the reference multiples to today's earnings (or book value, or FFO) per share. Not a fair value: it is where the stock would trade at its usual multiples.
Why is The GEO Group, Inc.'s P/E so low?
The GEO Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.4× on reported earnings, but over the last 12 months 21 % of its pre-tax income ($82.5M) came from outside the business, such as revaluations or sales of stakes in other companies. It is real money, but it doesn't repeat every year. Without that part, its P/E would be about 17.0×. Kaplio's calculation from the official quarterly accounts filed up to the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
| Quarter ended | From the business | Outside the business | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2025 | $40.7M | $190M | $174M |
| December 31, 2025 | $83.8M | −$35.1M | $31.8M |
| March 31, 2026 | $89.3M | −$36.0M | $38.3M |
| June 30, 2026 | $102M | −$36.0M | $47.5M |
What matters in industrials: 5 of 10 pass
- 5y revenue growth −0.8 %, fails.
- Operating margin 9.8 %, fails.
- ROIC 6.8 %, fails.
- FCF conversion −49.1 %, fails.
- Altman Z-Score 1.7, fails.
- Net debt / EBITDA 2.6×, passes.
- Capex / Revenue 7.5 %, passes.
- Piotroski F-Score 6 de 9, passes.
- P/E vs own 10y history 13.5×, passes.
- Cycle-adjusted EV/EBITDA 8.2×, passes.
Against its peers (reference peers) — The GEO Group, Inc.: P/E 13.4×; EV/EBITDA 8.2×; ROIC 6.8 %; $3.8B. Brady Corporation (P/E 19.3×; EV/EBITDA 12.0×; ROIC 13.8 %; $3.9B), The Brink's Company (P/E 23.8×; EV/EBITDA 7.6×; ROIC 6.0 %; $4.2B), MSA Safety Incorporated (P/E 22.2×; EV/EBITDA 14.1×; ROIC 15.0 %; $6.9B).
Expensive or cheap against its last 6 years?
P/E at each close: today 13.4× · median 14.2× · minimum 5.2× · maximum 25.9× · cheap below 9.1× · expensive above 19.3×. It has been cheaper than today only 48% of the time over its last 6 years.
Profitability
| Return on Equity | 19.30% |
| Return on Invested Capital | 6.79% |
| Return on Assets | 7.79% |
| Gross Margin | 42.42% |
| Operating Margin | 11.16% |
| Net Margin | 10.31% |
Financial Health
| Debt / Equity | 1.06 |
| Current Ratio | 1.65 |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.70 |
Price Performance
| 1 month | -7.37% |
| 3 months | -7.67% |
| Year-to-date | +76.92% |
| 1 year | +68.06% |
| 3 years | +218.30% |
| 5 years | +244.44% |
| 10 years | +84.16% |
Dividend History
| Date | Amount |
|---|---|
| 2021-01-22 | $0.2500 |
| 2020-10-15 | $0.3400 |
| 2020-07-16 | $0.4800 |
| 2020-04-16 | $0.4800 |
| 2020-02-13 | $0.4800 |
| 2019-10-24 | $0.4800 |
| 2019-07-18 | $0.4800 |
| 2019-04-12 | $0.4800 |
| 2019-02-14 | $0.4800 |
| 2018-10-25 | $0.4700 |
Amounts adjusted for stock splits.
Related companies: ALLE · MSA · REZI · BCO · BRC
Explore sector: Industrials · Security & Protection Services
More sections of GEO: Financials · Valuation · Statistics · Estimates · Technical · Ownership · News · Events
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