Wall Street analyst estimates for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO): consensus price target and buy/hold/sell recommendations.
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services.
Analyst Consensus
| Strong Buy | 0 |
| Buy | 8 |
| Hold | 4 |
| Sell | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
| Total analysts | 12 |
| Avg rating (−2 sell to +2 buy) | 0.67 |
Recent Earnings Surprises
| Date | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | vs Est. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | $0.35 | ||
| 2026-08-06 | $0.37 | $0.29 | +28.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | $0.29 | $0.19 | +52.6% |
| 2026-02-12 | $0.25 | $0.25 | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.25 | $0.22 | +13.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | $0.22 | $0.16 | +37.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | $0.14 | $0.18 | -22.2% |
| 2025-02-27 | $0.13 | $0.21 | -38.1% |
Valuation Ratios
| P/E Ratio | 13.45 |
| Price / Book | 2.56 |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.19 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Income Statement (10y)
| Year | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.18B | $2.26B | $2.33B | $2.48B | $2.35B | $2.26B | $2.38B | $2.41B | $2.42B | $2.63B |
| Cost of Revenue | $1.65B | $1.70B | $1.76B | $1.86B | $1.77B | $1.63B | $1.66B | $1.74B | 0 | $1.97B |
| Gross Profit | $529.2M | $562.9M | $575.6M | $619.9M | $578.6M | $627.6M | $713.8M | $668.9M | $2.42B | $663.1M |
| Research & Development | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Selling, General & Admin | $148.7M | $190.3M | $184.5M | $185.9M | $193.4M | $204.3M | $197.0M | $190.8M | $213.0M | $235.9M |
| Operating Expenses | $263.6M | $314.6M | $310.9M | $316.8M | $349.2M | $339.5M | $329.9M | $316.6M | $2.11B | $405.6M |
| Operating Income | $265.6M | $248.3M | $264.7M | $303.1M | $229.4M | $288.1M | $383.9M | $352.4M | $310.0M | $257.5M |
| EBITDA | $393.1M | $424.3M | $425.9M | $455.4M | $385.6M | $457.5M | $527.3M | $482.1M | $355.4M | $632.6M |
| Interest Expense | $128.7M | $148.0M | $150.1M | $151.0M | $126.8M | $129.5M | $164.6M | $218.3M | $190.6M | $160.5M |
| Pre-tax Income | $149.5M | $151.9M | $149.3M | $183.1M | $133.3M | $200.0M | $234.6M | $142.6M | $41.3M | $340.0M |
| Income Tax | $7.9M | $18.0M | $14.1M | $16.6M | $20.5M | $122.7M | $62.9M | $35.4M | $9.4M | $85.7M |
| Net Income | $148.7M | $146.2M | $145.1M | $166.6M | $113.0M | $77.4M | $171.8M | $107.3M | $32.0M | $254.4M |
| EPS | $1.34 | $1.22 | $1.21 | $1.40 | $0.94 | $0.59 | $1.18 | $0.73 | $0.23 | $1.82 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.33 | $1.21 | $1.20 | $1.40 | $0.94 | $0.58 | $1.17 | $0.72 | $0.22 | $1.82 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 111.5 M | 120.8 M | 120.7 M | 119.3 M | 120.0 M | 120.7 M | 122.3 M | 123.7 M | 134.1 M | 139.7 M |
Price
| Price | $28.52 (closing price, October 30, 2026) |
| Market Cap | $3.8B |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Country | US |
Related companies: ALLE · MSA · REZI · BCO · BRC
Explore sector: Industrials · Security & Protection Services
More sections of GEO: Overview · Financials · Valuation · Statistics · Technical · Ownership · News · Events
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